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GPT-5 Pro ROI calculator

A worked methodology for deciding whether GPT-5 Pro's $200/month tier repays for your enterprise. Used alongside the AM-003 Holding-up claim on tiered-subscription economics.

Tool status. This page previously lived as a standalone HTML calculator under /wp-content/uploads/ during the WordPress era. It is being rebuilt as a first-class tool on the new publication. In the meantime, the methodology below is the same one the calculator used — you can work it on a spreadsheet in under ten minutes.

The five inputs

  1. Query volume per seat per month. How many distinct AI prompts does the user run that would benefit from premium routing? Most enterprise users: 10–40.
  2. "Very hard" fraction. What percentage of those queries genuinely need deeper reasoning (vs. summarisation, drafting, formatting)? Honest answer for most roles: 5–15%.
  3. Delta value per hard query. What is one correctly-reasoned answer worth vs. a decent-but-shallow one? Depends entirely on role — a junior analyst might be $5, a senior partner might be $500.
  4. Seat cost delta. GPT-5 Pro at $200/month vs. a Plus seat at $20/month = $180 monthly delta per seat, or $2,160 per year.
  5. Alternative-tool substitutability. Would a Claude Opus 4.x or Gemini Advanced seat cover the same workload? If yes, the true delta is smaller.

The break-even expression

Monthly ROI is positive when:

(Queries × Hard-fraction × Delta-value) > $180

Concretely: at 20 queries/month × 10% hard × $X/query = $180 break-even, you need $90 of value per hard query. Most seats do not clear this bar. Senior roles with high-leverage decisions do.

The Holding-up claim this anchors

This methodology supports AM-003 — GPT-5 Pro vs Enterprise AI Agents: the $200/month premium routing only repays for the top decile of "very hard" queries. The claim is reviewed every 30 days because pricing-tier claims age fast. See the current verdict at /holding/?claim=AM-003.

Primary sources

Vigil · reviewed